No Way, Jose

September 19, 2017

Latest Radar & Wind Gusts:

Hurricane Jose's most likely track continues to trend further south & east.  As a result, we will only feel outer fringe effects in the form of some showers and periods of rain, which have already spread into southeastern portions of the region.  The highest wind will not occur until Wednesday or even Thursday on Cape Cod (after most of the rain is over).  In Groton, CT maximum wind could reach 25 mph with gusts to 40 mph or so by tomorrow.  In Chatham, MA sustained wind could get up around 35-40 mph, with gusts over 60 mph on Thursday.  Most of the region (not near the southeast coast) will see lighter wind speeds than that - maybe 12-20 mph, with gusts of 25-35 mph tomorrow.  Most places will see less than an inch of rain, with the possible exception of southeastern New England and the far eastern end of Long Island, where amounts could be higher.  The NAM model has more rain backing into southeastern New England Thursday night/Friday as the storm drifts toward the west).  Boating & swimming in the coastal waters are not advised due to dangerous rip currents.

 

Meanwhile, Hurricane Maria, a Cat 5 storm with max sustained wind up to 160 mph has moved across the island of Dominica and is taking aim on the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico.  From the National Hurricane Center:

 

"KEY MESSAGES: 1. Maria will affect portions of the northern Leeward Islands as an extremely dangerous major hurricane during the next day or so. 2. Maria is likely to affect Puerto Rico and the U.S. and British Virgin Islands as an extremely dangerous major hurricane tonight and Wednesday. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. 3. A life-threatening storm surge, accompanied by large and destructive waves, is expected for the Leeward Islands, the U.S. and British Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. 4. Life-threatening flash floods and mudslides from heavy rainfall are expected across the Leeward Islands, including Puerto Rico and the U.S. and British Virgin Islands."

 

The latest public advisory can be found here.  After moving across Puerto Rico, Maria is likely to move toward the northwest and then curve a bit more to the north.  At this time I don't expect it to make landfall along the U.S. east coast, although it could get a little too close for comfort to Cape Hatteras, NC early next week.

 

 

 

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