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Snow Thursday Night?

November 13, 2018

Image above depicts the mean snow accumulation forecast by the GFS Ensemble (21 different model runs) Thursday night and should be taken with a grain of salt.  Other models are in the same ballpark as of this morning, however changes between now and Thursday would not be surprising.

  

 

Yes.  Our first accumulating snow of the season is looking more likely for Thursday evening/night.  A wet start to today.  The rain should taper down by late this morning, but considerable cloudiness will linger this afternoon, as a northwest breeze develops.  Highs in the 40's, except 50's in southeastern CT.  Becoming partly cloudy tonight.  Breezy & cold with lows 25-30.  Wednesday and Thursday will feel like we are in the middle of winter.  We will see a mix of sun & clouds Wednesday with high probably not getting out of the 30's across much of the state.  A gusty west-northwest wind (30+ mph gusts) will make it feel colder.  The sky starts out clear Wednesday night and as the breeze dies down low temperatures drop into the teens and low 20's.  Clouds will increase and thicken Thursday as an area of low pressure moves up the east coast from near Savanna, Georgia.  Snow begins to fall in the late afternoon or evening Thursday.  At this time it looks like 3"-6" accumulate northwest of Hartford and 1"-3" accumulate south & east of Hartford before the precipitation changes to rain during Thursday night.  The changeover line may hover near the CT/MA border Thursday night into Friday, so we will have to monitor temperatures closely as some mixing could occur at times in parts of northern CT into Friday, depending on the exact track of the low pressure center.  The rain Friday should taper off by afternoon, after more than an inch is deposited again into many rain gauges.  The weekend looks dry & cold.

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