September 10, 2017

The highest wind gust I've seen so far is 120 mph reported from Big Pine Key.  Ground reports are showing tree damage and some flooding in south Florida.  A short time ago a large crane on top of a building in Miami was blow over.  The latest advisory from the NHC indicates that the maximum sustained  wind in Irma was 130 mph, with gusts to 160 mph.  Its been my experience that the peak winds from reporting...

September 3, 2017

The latest operational runs of the GFS and ECMWF models both have the center of Hurricane Irma making landfall in North Carolina on September 11th (GFS) or early on September 12th (ECMWF).  Although these solutions have varied significantly over the past few days, there is a little more of a consensus between  the operation runs and their emsemble members now. This does not mean that the projected track won...

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