September 7, 2017

The latest model runs continue to show some of the same biases we have been seeing and it is becoming increasingly likely that Florida will feel a significant impact from this storm.  The ECMWF model continues to forecast the center of the storm to track west of the GFS track.  The Euro basically brings the storm right up across the Florida Peninsula, reaching south Florida by early Sunday morning and south...

May 12, 2017

A developing area of low pressure will hug the coast, resulting in rain spreading from southwest to northeast across the region tomorrow.  Once it gets going, it will become a soaking rain into Saturday night.  Highs will be in the 50's Saturday, lows in the 40's. The steady rain will taper to scattered showers from west to east early Sunday.  It will be breezy Mother's Day, with highs in the 50's (maybe a...

March 16, 2017

I wouldn't believe any forecasts you hear about the weekend before tomorrow. A clipper dropping into the Great Lakes Saturday will give way to a developing low offshore. This low will be fairly distant from us, however there will be an inverted trough (see image above) extending back toward the original low for a while, which complicates things. Also, the upper-level low will be trying to catch up to the de...

January 5, 2017

Yesterday's snowfall forecast for Fri