Headlines Thursday, February 28

Snowfall amounts overnight ranged from a coating/fraction of an inch in many places, up to over 3" in parts of northeastern CT. Skies become partly to mostly sunny during the rest of today. Batches of precipitation will pass nearby both tomorrow morning & Saturday morning. At this time it looks like Connecticut will be near the northern fringe of these areas and probably only get grazed by a couple flurries or snow showers in parts of the state Friday & Saturday mornings, however there may be some small accumulations across NJ and Long Island (where some rain may also get into the mix), so a light shift to the north could easily change our forecast during the next 1-2 days. A more significa

A Light Snowfall On The Way

Above: High resolution NAM model forecast for midnight tonight (click to enlarge). A few flurries or snow showers will arrive in parts of the state this afternoon. Across most of the state, accumulating snow probably won't occur until toward or after dark. If the ground coats up before that it will probably be north & west of Hartford - especially toward the CT/MA border. Occasional, light snow tonight, tapering off toward dawn. Accumulations generally 1"-4" with the highest amounts toward the CT/MA border. Southwestern CT may have trouble scraping together an inch or so. This will be a light, easy to remove snow. Snow-to-liquid rations probably 12 or 15 to 1 instead of the typical 10-1

Light Snow Wednesday Night

Windy & cold today. Gusts to 40 mph (compared to 60 mph yesterday). Some flurries or spotty, light snow possible in parts of the state Wednesday afternoon. Most of the snow falls Wednesday night. Not a lot of moisture with this system, but the snow will be light & fluffy and the "fluff factor" may produce accumulations of 2"-4" by the time it tapers off toward dawn Thursday. Below average temperatures through the end of the week.

Weekend Outlook

Above: Infrared satellite imagery 6:46 am EST We will be on the northern fringe of the cloud band associated with the jet stream flow today & tomorrow. Dry weather today & Saturday, with partly sunny conditions and highs in the low 40's. Precipitation spreads into the state from west to east toward and after midnight Saturday night. Rain to the south, with some sleet & freezing rain inland. Mix changes to rain by Sunday morning across northern CT & rain tapers by Sunday afternoon. Highs Sunday 45-50. Strong winds will develop behind this system Sunday night & Monday. West to northwest winds at 20-40 mph Monday could gust over 60 mph in parts of the state, possibly resulting in scattered

Headlines for Thursday, February 21

Temperatures should rise above freezing across most of Connecticut by 10 A.M. Breaks in the clouds develop during the rest of this morning. Partly sunny this afternoon, with a high around 50! Next precipitation event Saturday night into Sunday. Could start as some freezing rain and/or sleet across the interior, but mostly rain, tapering off Sunday afternoon. Dry Friday & daytime Saturday with highs averaging 40-45.

Today's Timetable

Snow arrives in Fairfield County by 2-3 pm, Hartford by 5-6 pm, and all of CT by 7-8 pm An inch or two of accumulation followed by a change to sleet & freezing rain tonight, making for an icy mess. Much of what falls after midnight will be liquid - freezing rain in northern CT and some plain rain across portions of southern CT. Precipitation tapers off toward dawn (Thursday). Some slick travel in parts of northern CT into the Thursday morning commute. Temperatures stay mostly in the 20's today, then rise into the 30's tonight. Thursday starts out cloudy, ends up sunny. High pops up to 50 Thursday afternoon. Noon Update: Snow developing across southwestern CT between 1-3 pm, Hartford by 4

Headlines For Tuesday, February 19

A cold start this morning. Lots of teens. 3 degrees in Staffordville, CT. Clouds increase Wednesday. Snow could reach southwestern CT by late afternoon. May not get going in Hartford until after most of the evening commute ends. Snow accumulations between a coating and 2" before changing to sleet & freezing rain Wednesday night, resulting in some icing. Sleet & freezing rain may change to plain rain in portions of southern CT before precipitation tapers off Thursday morning. Could be a slick morning commute Thursday though, in many towns. Milder by Thursday afternoon (40's). Next precipitation event late Saturday night/Sunday looks like a mix to rain.

Headlines for Wednesday, February 13

After an ice-encrusted start to today, conditions will improve a bit as the sky becomes partly sunny and temperatures rise into the low 40's this afternoon. The wind will pick up to 12-25 mph with higher gusts after 10 am. Watch out for re-freezing surfaces tonight as lows fall back to 20-25. Mostly sunny & near 40 Thursday. Couple showers & near 50 Friday. Chance for some light snow Sunday night.

Timetable Through Tonight

Snow develops across Connecticut today from southwest to northeast between roughly 9 am-1 pm. Snow falls at rates of 0.5"-1.0" for a few hours before changing to sleet during the afternoon/early evening. Snow accumulations mostly 2"-3", except 4"-5" in some places north of I-84. Sleet changes to freezing rain & rain tonight as temperatures rise out of the 20's into the 30's. Icing may persist much of the night near/north of I-84. A change to plain rain and temps getting above 32 more likely toward the coast and across southeastern CT. A scattered rain or snow shower possible early Wednesday, otherwise becoming partly sunny & breezy, with highs reaching the low 40's.

Headlines for Monday, Feb. 11, 2019

Dry weather prevails today & tonight. Snow develops across Connecticut from southwest to northeast between about 9 am-1 pm Tuesday. Snow accumulates to 1"-3" south of I-84, with some 4" or 5" amounts possible to the north before changing to sleet. All areas of CT likely seeing sleet by 3 pm Tuesday. A messy Tuesday evening commute is likely with snow on the ground & sleet (& maybe some freezing rain) falling. The mixed precipitation will change to plain rain through much of the state during Wednesday night as temps rise above 32. Pockets of freezing may linger in the NW hills much of the night.

Weekend Headlines

Above: surface plots & radar. (Click to enlarge). Rain will taper by early afternoon today, followed by partial clearing during the afternoon, but still the chance for a shower (maybe a snow shower in the NW hills in the mid-late afternoon). Conditions will turn windy & colder during the late afternoon & evening after a cold front passes. Winds could gust to 40-50 mph tonight into Saturday. Low near 20 tonight, but wind-chill approaches 0 late. Lots of sun Saturday but highs in the low-mid 30's will feel like the teens & 20's because of the wind. 50% chance for flurries/snow showers late Sunday night. Snow developing during Tuesday with accumulation, but may change to sleet & rain.

Freezing Rain Tonight

Above: European model ice accretion forecast through 7 am Thursday. (Click to Enlarge). Below: NWS Ice accretion forecast through Thursday morning. (Click to Enlarge). Clouds increase this afternoon. Rain & freezing rain spread across the state from west to east between roughly 5:30 pm-8:30 pm. Much of northern 2/3rd's of the state will have slick travel for a while, with the greatest extent of icing most likely across the northern hills, where up to 0.10"-0.25" of ice accretion could occur. Lows will be near 32 degrees tonight. A 1 or 2 degree difference will have a big impact on the extend & duration of icing. As a result, this forecast could easily change between now & tonight. Above

Headlines For The Weekend

Parts of the state started out at -10 to -15 this morning. Highs will be within a couple degrees, either side of 20 this afternoon, under a mix of sun & clouds. Temps will be moderating through the weekend into early next week. High near 32 Saturday, 40 Sunday, and 50 Monday! Light wind today (mostly under 10 mph). A bit of a breeze (southwest at 10-20 mph) tomorrow will somewhat offset the comfort of temperatures that will be 10 degrees high than today. No precipitation likely through Monday.

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